The Company in a Nutshell
- NA has a slight exposure to the mortgage market, with 70% of its business coming from other segments.
- The bank is pursuing a successful growth by acquisition strategy.
- NA can move faster than the larger banks and is more flexible due to its smaller size.
| Date Reviewed | 05/28/2026 |
| Company Name | National Bank of Canada |
| Symbol | NA.TO |
| Sector | Financials |
| Industry | Banks |
| Beta | 1.19 |
| PRO Rating | 5 |
| Dividend Safety | 4 |
Business Model
| Current price | 228.33 |
| ROE | 14.50 % |
| ROIC | 0.00 % |
| Shareholder Yield | 0.35 % |
| 5-Yr Total Return | 186.55 % |
| 1-Yr Total Return | 62.40 % |
| Next Earnings Date | 08-26-26 |
Latest Quarter Information
What the CEO said:
“We delivered strong growth in the second quarter, reflecting the diversification of our business and continued client activity across our franchises. Our performance was further supported by credit discipline, CWB-related synergies and share buybacks,” said Laurent Ferreira, President and Chief Executive Officer of National Bank of Canada. “In the context of heightened macroeconomic uncertainty, we remain well positioned to support our clients, and continue delivering strong earnings growth and return on equity, while maintaining robust capital levels,” c
What we say:
2026-05-27, National Bank reported a good quarter with EPS up 13%. Personal & Commercial +18%, driven by the growth in loan and deposit volumes, lower PCLs, but partly offset by a lower net interest margin. PCLs were down $257M, mainly due to initial PCLs of $230M on acquired non-impaired CWB loans recorded in 2025. Wealth +18%, driven by growth in all types of revenues, mainly fee-based revenues. Capital Markets was down 3%, mainly due to a decrease in global markets revenues, partly offset by an increase in corporate and investment banking revenues. U.S. & Intl +10%, driven by a strong performance from ABA bank and lower PCLs. NA increased its dividend by 6%, congrats!
Investment Thesis
National Bank of Canada is the sixth-largest Canadian bank and the most domestic-focused among the Big Six. With 81% of its revenue coming from Canada, it has built a strong presence in Quebec (45% of revenue), but its recent acquisition of Canadian Western Bank is expected to expand its footprint in Western Canada. The deal should create cross-selling opportunities, particularly in private banking services that Canadian Western Bank does not currently offer. National Bank has been actively diversifying its business, with 60 percent of revenue now generated outside traditional savings and loans. Its expansion in capital markets, wealth management, and international investments, including ABA Bank in Cambodia and Credigy in the United States, provides additional growth avenues.
Playbook
National Bank derives revenue from personal and commercial banking (39% of revenue), wealth management (23%), capital markets (26%) and U.S. & International segment (12%). It has a dominant position in Quebec, where it benefits from strong customer loyalty and an extensive banking network. The bank has been expanding aggressively in wealth management through its Private Banking 1859 brand, as well as in capital markets, where it is a leading player in ETF market-making and debt underwriting in Canada.
Growth Vectors
A major growth driver for National Bank is its acquisition of Canadian Western Bank, which significantly increased its market share beyond Quebec. 2026 numbers will be inflated by this acquisition. National Bank also entered a deal to acquire Laurentian Bank's P&C's assets (mostly the loan book + funds). This transaction is expected to close by the end of 2026.
The bank is also expanding into emerging markets, particularly Cambodia, through ABA Bank, which has been steadily growing its loan book and customer base. Capital markets and alternative lending, particularly through Credigy in the United States, also provide high-margin growth opportunities.
Wealth management remains a strong growth vector as NA can count on National Bank Financial and Private Banking 1859 to take care of its wealthiest clients.
Economic Moat
National Bank holds a narrow economic moat due to its strong brand recognition, cost advantages, and customer switching costs in Quebec. It benefits from Canada's highly regulated banking industry, which ensures stability and limits competition. However, its smaller scale compared to the largest Canadian banks means it lacks some cost efficiencies and global diversification. The acquisition of Canadian Western Bank could strengthen its competitive position, but there are execution risks involved.
Dividend Triangle
| 5-Yr Rev. Growth | 11.40 % |
| 5-Yr EPS Growth | 6.80 % |
| 5-Yr Div Growth | 11.90 % |
Potential Risks
While National Bank has demonstrated strong performance, it is exposed to several risks.
Business Vulnerabilities
National Bank remains heavily reliant on Quebec, with about 45 percent of its revenue coming from the province. Any economic slowdown in the region could impact its performance more than its larger competitors, which have greater geographic diversification. The bank also takes higher risks to achieve growth, particularly through its investments in Cambodia and alternative lending markets in the United States, both of which can be unpredictable. Finally, we have seen provisions for credit losses increase significantly in 2025. This must be monitored closely. On Q1 2026 and Q2, PCLs have now decreased. That's good news.
Industry & Market Threats
One of the primary concerns is the increase in credit provisions, which have been rising due to higher impaired loans, particularly at ABA Bank. The broader economic slowdown and high interest rates could further strain the bank’s loan portfolio. Additionally, revenue from financial markets remains volatile, meaning that a bearish stock market could result in weaker quarterly earnings.
Competitive Landscape
National Bank competes with larger institutions such as Royal Bank of Canada, Toronto-Dominion, and Bank of Montreal, all of which have stronger capital positions and global reach. However, it has outperformed the Big Five banks over the past decade due to its flexible and proactive approach to capital markets and wealth management. The expansion into Western Canada through Canadian Western Bank will provide some diversification, but the bank still lacks the scale of its largest peers.
| Debt/Equity | 1.75 |
| Financial Debt to EBITDA (TTM) | 6.90 |
| Current Ratio (Quarterly) | 0.00 |
| Credit Score | 75 |
Dividend Growth Perspective
The bank has been one of the most generous over the past 5 years, which is impressive considering the company had to take a break in its increases between 2008 and 2010 due to the financial crisis. It did the same in 2020-2021, waiting for regulations to lift. This finally happened at the end of 2021, and the bank rewarded shareholders’ patience with a dividend increase of 23% (to $0.87/share). They have since returned to the traditional biannual dividend increase. National Bank kept its dividend growth streak in 2025 with a first increase of 3.5% for Q2 2025 and a second one of 5% for Q4 2025.
For Q2 2026, NA raised its dividend by 6% to $1.32/share.
NA exhibits one of the lowest payout ratios and the highest dividend growth rate among its peers.
| Dividend ($) | 5.28 |
| Dividend Yield Fwd | 2.30 % |
| Dividend Frequency | Quarterly |
| Average 5-Yr Yield | 3.70 % |
| Payout Ratio (%) | 45.75 |
| Cash Payout Ratio (%) | 82.55 |
| DGR 1-Yr (TTM) | 9.20 |
| DGR 3-Yr (TTM) | 7.75 |
| DGR 5-Yr (TTM) | 11.90 |
| DGR Streak | 15 |
| Chowder Score | 14.20 |
| Next DVD PMT | 08-01-26 |
Valuation
| Recent Annual Dividend Payment | $ 5.28 |
| Expected Dividend Growth Rate Years 1-10 | 6.00% |
| Expected Terminal Dividend Growth Rate | 6.00% |
| Discount Rate | 9.00% |
| Discount Rate (Horizontal) | |||
| Margin of Safety | 8.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% |
| 20% Premium | $ 335.81 | $ 223.87 | $ 167.90 |
| 10% Premium | $ 307.82 | $ 205.22 | $ 153.91 |
| Intrinsic Value | $ 279.84 | $ 186.56 | $ 139.92 |
| 10% Discount | $ 251.86 | $ 167.90 | $ 125.93 |
| 20% Discount | $ 223.87 | $ 149.25 | $ 111.94 |
Video Tutorial: How to Read the Stock Cards DDM Valuation
| Market Cap | 86 B |
| PE Ratio | 19.75 |
| Fwd PE | 16.30 |
| Price to Book Ratio | 2.55 |
| DDM Valuation | 186.56 |
| Average 5-Yr PE | 12.22 |
| Value Score | 50 |